TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 1:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Wojciech Marek and Manuel Plunger in the M15 Selva Gardena, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wojciech Marek' if Wojciech Marek advances against Manuel Plunger. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Plunger' if Manuel Plunger advances against Wojciech Marek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Wojciech Marek and Manuel Plunger in the M15 Selva Gardena, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wojciech Marek' if Wojciech Marek advances against Manuel Plunger. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Plunger' if Manuel Plunger advances against Wojciech Marek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments of the players' chances. If there's a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the outcome, or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook odds. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional forecasts, though past performance is not indicative of future results.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Selva Gardena tennis match between Wojciech Marek and Manuel Plunger, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. For example, if one player is reported to be unwell or has a history of struggling on similar court surfaces, the market may shift in favor of their opponent. Unexpected weather forecasts for Selva Gardena could also play a role, as could any updates from tennis analysts or commentators offering their predictions. These factors all contribute to the dynamic pricing of this market.