TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Cona and Gabriele Maria Piano in the M15 Selva Gardena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Cona' if Mattia Cona advances against Gabriele Maria Piano. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Maria Piano' if Gabriele Maria Piano advances against Mattia Cona. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Cona and Gabriele Maria Piano in the M15 Selva Gardena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Cona' if Mattia Cona advances against Gabriele Maria Piano. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Maria Piano' if Gabriele Maria Piano advances against Mattia Cona. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades result in financial gains. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all traders participating in the market.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Selva Gardena tennis match between Mattia Cona and Gabriele Maria Piano. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and reporting. The outcome will be determined by which player wins the match according to standard tennis scoring rules, and the winning shares will be paid out accordingly.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these players could also impact confidence levels. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants or large-scale bets could create momentum and drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and events can provide insights into potential shifts in the perceived probabilities of each player winning.