TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 12:38 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Manuel Plunger and Giovanni Oradini in the M15 Selva Gardena, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Plunger' if Manuel Plunger advances against Giovanni Oradini. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Oradini' if Giovanni Oradini advances against Manuel Plunger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Manuel Plunger and Giovanni Oradini in the M15 Selva Gardena, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Plunger' if Manuel Plunger advances against Giovanni Oradini. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Oradini' if Giovanni Oradini advances against Manuel Plunger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly when there's strong public sentiment or information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. Examining these differences can reveal potential value or areas where the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. This comparison can be a useful tool for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the M15 Selva Gardena tennis match between Manuel Plunger and Giovanni Oradini. The platform will verify the outcome against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor the event's progress leading up to this date.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term volatility. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket will provide insights into potential catalysts that could move the market.