TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 4:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Castagnola and Patric Prinoth in the M15 Selva Gardena, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castagnola' if Luca Castagnola advances against Patric Prinoth. This market will resolve to 'Patric Prinoth' if Patric Prinoth advances against Luca Castagnola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Castagnola and Patric Prinoth in the M15 Selva Gardena, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castagnola' if Luca Castagnola advances against Patric Prinoth. This market will resolve to 'Patric Prinoth' if Patric Prinoth advances against Luca Castagnola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Selva Gardena tennis match. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust predictions accordingly, creating a constantly evolving assessment of the match’s likely result.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Selva Gardena tennis match between Luca Castagnola and Patric Prinoth. The platform will verify the winner through official sources, ensuring an accurate and transparent settlement process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also impact predictions. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create momentum and drive price movements. Public sentiment and analysis from tennis experts could also play a role, as traders incorporate new information into their assessments of the likely winner of the Selva Gardena tennis match.