TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 3:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Rottoli and Alex Kobelt in the M15 Selva Gardena, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Rottoli' if Lorenzo Rottoli advances against Alex Kobelt. This market will resolve to 'Alex Kobelt' if Alex Kobelt advances against Lorenzo Rottoli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Rottoli and Alex Kobelt in the M15 Selva Gardena, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Rottoli' if Lorenzo Rottoli advances against Alex Kobelt. This market will resolve to 'Alex Kobelt' if Alex Kobelt advances against Lorenzo Rottoli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the event, the odds here will adjust accordingly. It's common to see this market converge toward what many consider the 'true' probability as more information becomes available, potentially offering value compared to traditional betting options.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Selva Gardena match between Lorenzo Rottoli and Alex Kobelt. This includes verifying the final score and confirming that the match was completed according to the official rules and regulations of the competition. The outcome will be determined by the official governing body’s published results.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or recent performance could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about playing conditions or changes to the match schedule might also cause movement. Furthermore, significant bets from informed traders or large volume spikes could indicate new information or a change in sentiment. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Nov 3, 2026 resolution.