TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 8:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Leonardo Taddia and Pietro Mugelli in the M15 Selva Gardena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Taddia' if Leonardo Taddia advances against Pietro Mugelli. This market will resolve to 'Pietro Mugelli' if Pietro Mugelli advances against Leonardo Taddia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Leonardo Taddia and Pietro Mugelli in the M15 Selva Gardena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Taddia' if Leonardo Taddia advances against Pietro Mugelli. This market will resolve to 'Pietro Mugelli' if Pietro Mugelli advances against Leonardo Taddia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, indicating growing confidence in that outcome, while selling pressure lowers it. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Selva Gardena tennis match between Leonardo Taddia and Pietro Mugelli. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and published scores. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures for determining the correct outcome based on available evidence. Traders should ensure their accounts are in good standing to receive payouts.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Leonardo Taddia or Pietro Mugelli could also impact trader sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by social media or expert analysis, could also lead to price movements. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in market perception, causing the price to adjust accordingly.