TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 8:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Leonardo Taddia and Philip Niederle in the M15 Selva Gardena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Taddia' if Leonardo Taddia advances against Philip Niederle. This market will resolve to 'Philip Niederle' if Philip Niederle advances against Leonardo Taddia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Leonardo Taddia and Philip Niederle in the M15 Selva Gardena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Taddia' if Leonardo Taddia advances against Philip Niederle. This market will resolve to 'Philip Niederle' if Philip Niederle advances against Leonardo Taddia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant disparity exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate a perceived mispricing or unique information held by market participants. It's important to note that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of bettors.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Selva Gardena match between Leonardo Taddia and Philip Niederle. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause the price to fluctuate. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential effect on the outcome is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on market movements.