TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between LEONARDO PENASA and Yanis Peterhans in the M15 Selva Gardena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'LEONARDO PENASA' if LEONARDO PENASA advances against Yanis Peterhans. This market will resolve to 'Yanis Peterhans' if Yanis Peterhans advances against LEONARDO PENASA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between LEONARDO PENASA and Yanis Peterhans in the M15 Selva Gardena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'LEONARDO PENASA' if LEONARDO PENASA advances against Yanis Peterhans. This market will resolve to 'Yanis Peterhans' if Yanis Peterhans advances against LEONARDO PENASA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment regarding the Selva Gardena ski race.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official results of the Selva Gardena ski race will be used to determine the winner, and that information will be used to settle this market. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the odds at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the racers’ recent performance, injuries, or changes in equipment could shift the odds. Weather conditions leading up to and during the race are also a major factor, as they can heavily influence the difficulty and outcome. Unexpected announcements about racer participation or course modifications could also cause movement. Monitoring these factors and staying updated on the latest news will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market’s probabilities for the Selva Gardena ski race.