TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 10:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gregor Hausberger and Daniel Lechner in the M15 Selva Gardena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gregor Hausberger' if Gregor Hausberger advances against Daniel Lechner. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Lechner' if Daniel Lechner advances against Gregor Hausberger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gregor Hausberger and Daniel Lechner in the M15 Selva Gardena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gregor Hausberger' if Gregor Hausberger advances against Daniel Lechner. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Lechner' if Daniel Lechner advances against Gregor Hausberger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, and may be influenced by promotional considerations. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders willing to put their capital at risk. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, prediction markets can quickly adapt to new information and potentially offer more accurate probabilities as the event approaches. It’s common to see differences emerge, particularly as more traders participate.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Selva Gardena match between Gregor Hausberger and Daniel Lechner, as reported by the governing body for the sport. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements for the definitive result that triggers market settlement.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about strategy or team composition could also lead to price adjustments. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket can create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market before Nov 2, 2026.