TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 9:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Giovanni Oradini and Simone Massellani in the M15 Selva Gardena, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Oradini' if Giovanni Oradini advances against Simone Massellani. This market will resolve to 'Simone Massellani' if Simone Massellani advances against Giovanni Oradini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Giovanni Oradini and Simone Massellani in the M15 Selva Gardena, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Oradini' if Giovanni Oradini advances against Simone Massellani. This market will resolve to 'Simone Massellani' if Simone Massellani advances against Giovanni Oradini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic process allows the market to aggregate information and adjust its prediction as new data becomes available, creating a real-time assessment of the likely result of the Oradini vs Massellani match.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Selva Gardena match between Giovanni Oradini and Simone Massellani. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders should monitor official announcements and results to understand how this market will be settled, as the platform aims for a clear and objective determination.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or tactical adjustments might also prompt traders to reassess their positions. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, although the market is ultimately driven by capital allocation. A strong performance by either player in a preceding match could also lead to increased confidence and a corresponding price movement.