TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
M15 Selva Gardena: Federico Arnaboldi vs Gabriele Maria Piano
polymarket

What is the result of Federico Arnaboldi vs Gabriele Maria Piano?

Volume:
$405

M15 Selva Gardena: Federico Arnaboldi vs Gabriele Maria Piano

 - Polymarket

M15 Selva Gardena: Federico Arnaboldi vs Gabriele Maria Piano - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 10:21 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

M15 Selva Gardena: Federico Arnaboldi vs Gabriele Maria Piano

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$405
N/A
N/A
N/A
8h 50m
Yes
polymarket

M15 Selva Gardena: Federico Arnaboldi vs Gabriele Maria Piano Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
8h 50m
Yes
polymarket

M15 Selva Gardena: Federico Arnaboldi vs Gabriele Maria Piano Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
8h 50m
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Gabriele Maria Piano in the M15 Selva Gardena, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federico Arnaboldi' if Federico Arnaboldi advances against Gabriele Maria Piano. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Maria Piano' if Gabriele Maria Piano advances against Federico Arnaboldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Gabriele Maria Piano in the M15 Selva Gardena, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federico Arnaboldi' if Federico Arnaboldi advances against Gabriele Maria Piano. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Maria Piano' if Gabriele Maria Piano advances against Federico Arnaboldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Arnaboldi vs Piano match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the total volume for this market is $405, with $405 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a visual representation of how traders are pricing the probability of each outcome, allowing you to see how sentiment shifts over time. This information is updated in real-time, offering a dynamic view of the market's activity. You can also see the implied probability of each outcome based on the current prices.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market incorporates insights from many individuals. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to be more accurate than polls or initial sportsbook lines, especially when significant information isn't widely available. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management strategies, leading to discrepancies with this market.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Selva Gardena match between Federico Arnaboldi and Gabriele Maria Piano. Any official announcements or results from recognized sports authorities will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market's settlement.

Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Federico Arnaboldi or Gabriele Maria Piano could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause shifts in sentiment. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or tournaments might lead traders to reassess their predictions. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely move this market.