TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Hinteregger and Boris Sarritzu in the M15 Selva Gardena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Hinteregger' if Fabian Hinteregger advances against Boris Sarritzu. This market will resolve to 'Boris Sarritzu' if Boris Sarritzu advances against Fabian Hinteregger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Hinteregger and Boris Sarritzu in the M15 Selva Gardena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Hinteregger' if Fabian Hinteregger advances against Boris Sarritzu. This market will resolve to 'Boris Sarritzu' if Boris Sarritzu advances against Fabian Hinteregger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can sometimes diverge from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own information and beliefs. It's common to see differences emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise to gauge where the crowd stands relative to professional oddsmakers, but it’s important to remember they represent different approaches to assessing probability.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and allows the odds to adjust rapidly to new information. The current price reflects what traders are willing to pay for exposure to each potential result of the Hinteregger vs Sarritzu match.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Selva Gardena match between Fabian Hinteregger and Boris Sarritzu. The platform will look to established sports news sources and official tournament results to determine the winner. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, based on the actual result of the competition.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the tournament, could also impact trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and commentators could also sway opinions and drive trading activity. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in the market leading up to the match’s resolution.