TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 10:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Davide Ciaschetti and Lorenzo Bocchi in the M15 Selva Gardena, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Davide Ciaschetti' if Davide Ciaschetti advances against Lorenzo Bocchi. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Bocchi' if Lorenzo Bocchi advances against Davide Ciaschetti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Davide Ciaschetti and Lorenzo Bocchi in the M15 Selva Gardena, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Davide Ciaschetti' if Davide Ciaschetti advances against Lorenzo Bocchi. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Bocchi' if Lorenzo Bocchi advances against Davide Ciaschetti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome, the prediction market may show a different probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before major events or when new information emerges, offering a different perspective on the likely result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential result of the Ciaschetti vs Bocchi match. The current price indicates the collective prediction of all traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ciaschetti vs Bocchi match, as reported by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning shares. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. For example, reports of Ciaschetti or Bocchi experiencing a minor injury during practice could lead to a change in the odds. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule or court surface could also be catalysts. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of either player’s chances of winning has the potential to move this market.