TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 8:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between David Simoncelli and Yanis Peterhans in the M15 Selva Gardena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'David Simoncelli' if David Simoncelli advances against Yanis Peterhans. This market will resolve to 'Yanis Peterhans' if Yanis Peterhans advances against David Simoncelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between David Simoncelli and Yanis Peterhans in the M15 Selva Gardena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'David Simoncelli' if David Simoncelli advances against Yanis Peterhans. This market will resolve to 'Yanis Peterhans' if Yanis Peterhans advances against David Simoncelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, whereas this market's probabilities are driven by actual money being wagered. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Analyzing these differences can offer insights into where the crowd believes the value lies compared to traditional betting outlets.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official results of the Selva Gardena race will be used to determine the winner. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to finalize the market and distribute payouts to winning share holders. Traders should monitor official race results as they are released to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the physical condition or recent performance of either David Simoncelli or Yanis Peterhans would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected weather conditions on race day could also shift probabilities, as could changes in track conditions. Furthermore, public endorsements or expert analysis favoring one racer over the other could drive trading activity and alter the market’s assessment of each competitor’s chances.