TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 10:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Bruno Kokot and Boris Sarritzu in the M15 Selva Gardena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bruno Kokot' if Bruno Kokot advances against Boris Sarritzu. This market will resolve to 'Boris Sarritzu' if Boris Sarritzu advances against Bruno Kokot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Bruno Kokot and Boris Sarritzu in the M15 Selva Gardena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bruno Kokot' if Bruno Kokot advances against Boris Sarritzu. This market will resolve to 'Boris Sarritzu' if Boris Sarritzu advances against Bruno Kokot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
It's common to see differences between prediction market odds and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from those on Polymarket, it might indicate disagreement about the likely outcome or differing assessments of the players’ form. Examining these discrepancies can be valuable for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates available information and provides a real-time assessment of the Kokot vs Sarritzu match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Selva Gardena match between Bruno Kokot and Boris Sarritzu, as declared by the governing tennis body. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on this official result, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about either player’s strategy or form, or even pre-match analysis from respected tennis commentators, could also trigger movement. Increased trading volume closer to the Nov 2, 2026 is also typical, as traders refine their predictions based on the latest available information and attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings.