TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:38 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Leonardo Condo and Florian Doleys in the M15 San Gregorio di Catania, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Condo' if Leonardo Condo advances against Florian Doleys. This market will resolve to 'Florian Doleys' if Florian Doleys advances against Leonardo Condo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Leonardo Condo and Florian Doleys in the M15 San Gregorio di Catania, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Condo' if Leonardo Condo advances against Florian Doleys. This market will resolve to 'Florian Doleys' if Florian Doleys advances against Leonardo Condo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Leonardo Condo or Florian Doleys will win the match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic market where the odds constantly adjust based on the collective intelligence of the traders participating.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Gregorio tennis match between Leonardo Condo and Florian Doleys, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which player secured the victory and settle the market accordingly. The outcome will be the player who wins the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to this one, or even weather forecasts affecting the court surface, could also trigger shifts in the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price changes as others react to their actions.