TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Giorgio Pistoia and Fabio Varsalona in the M15 San Gregorio di Catania, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giorgio Pistoia' if Giorgio Pistoia advances against Fabio Varsalona. This market will resolve to 'Fabio Varsalona' if Fabio Varsalona advances against Giorgio Pistoia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Giorgio Pistoia and Fabio Varsalona in the M15 San Gregorio di Catania, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giorgio Pistoia' if Giorgio Pistoia advances against Fabio Varsalona. This market will resolve to 'Fabio Varsalona' if Fabio Varsalona advances against Giorgio Pistoia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd and adjusts in real-time based on new information and trading activity. The current top market is Set Handicap: Fabio Varsalona (-1.5) vs Giorgio Pistoia (+1.5).
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Gregorio tennis match between Giorgio Pistoia and Fabio Varsalona. The platform will verify the winner, and payouts will be distributed to those who correctly predicted the outcome. It's important to note that the exact timing of resolution may depend on the availability of official results, but it will occur as soon as reasonably possible following the completion of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these players could also lead to adjustments. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public sentiment could drive price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading patterns on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market before it resolves.