TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Ferrari and Adriano Botta in the M15 San Gregorio di Catania, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Ferrari' if Francesco Ferrari advances against Adriano Botta. This market will resolve to 'Adriano Botta' if Adriano Botta advances against Francesco Ferrari. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Ferrari and Adriano Botta in the M15 San Gregorio di Catania, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Ferrari' if Francesco Ferrari advances against Adriano Botta. This market will resolve to 'Adriano Botta' if Adriano Botta advances against Francesco Ferrari. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of a particular player winning is determined by the share price relative to $1, where $1 represents a 100% probability. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly adjust to new information.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the San Gregorio tennis match between Francesco Ferrari and Adriano Botta. The platform will verify the winner based on official tournament results and reporting from reputable sports news sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even weather forecasts could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also shift perceptions of their form and ability. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price changes. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the match’s resolution.