TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adriano Botta and Clemente Aiello in the M15 San Gregorio di Catania, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adriano Botta' if Adriano Botta advances against Clemente Aiello. This market will resolve to 'Clemente Aiello' if Clemente Aiello advances against Adriano Botta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adriano Botta and Clemente Aiello in the M15 San Gregorio di Catania, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adriano Botta' if Adriano Botta advances against Clemente Aiello. This market will resolve to 'Clemente Aiello' if Clemente Aiello advances against Adriano Botta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the San Gregorio tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular outcome will occur, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants in the market.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Gregorio tennis match between Adriano Botta and Clemente Aiello. The platform will verify the winner against reliable sources to determine the final outcome of this market. Traders who held shares representing the winning player will receive a payout, while those who held shares representing the losing player will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public sentiment could cause the market to react. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could also create noticeable shifts in the probabilities, reflecting new information or a change in overall market perception of the San Gregorio tennis match.