TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Victor Bini and Juan Cruz Alcon in the M15 Quito, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Victor Bini' if Victor Bini advances against Juan Cruz Alcon. This market will resolve to 'Juan Cruz Alcon' if Juan Cruz Alcon advances against Victor Bini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Victor Bini and Juan Cruz Alcon in the M15 Quito, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Victor Bini' if Victor Bini advances against Juan Cruz Alcon. This market will resolve to 'Juan Cruz Alcon' if Juan Cruz Alcon advances against Victor Bini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares are bought and sold, adjusting the price based on supply and demand. The price of a share representing a particular outcome reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the result, as those who correctly forecast the outcome profit from their positions. The current price indicates the collective belief of traders regarding the likelihood of each player winning the Quito tennis match, and this price will fluctuate until the event concludes.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Victor Bini versus Juan Cruz Alcon tennis match in Quito. The platform will verify the winner against established sports data sources to determine which outcome resolves positively. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake. It's important to monitor the event's progress as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before the Oct 18, 2026 resolution date. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the event will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market’s price and implied probabilities.