TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentino Grippo and Ivan Dreycopp in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentino Grippo' if Valentino Grippo advances against Ivan Dreycopp. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Dreycopp' if Ivan Dreycopp advances against Valentino Grippo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentino Grippo and Ivan Dreycopp in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentino Grippo' if Valentino Grippo advances against Ivan Dreycopp. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Dreycopp' if Ivan Dreycopp advances against Valentino Grippo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. If prediction market participants strongly disagree with sportsbook lines, the odds here will diverge accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges that hasn't yet been fully factored into sportsbook odds. Analyzing these differences can reveal valuable insights into public perception and potential value bets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting to new information and changing sentiment regarding the Grippo vs Dreycopp match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Grippo vs Dreycopp match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on publicly available, verifiable data. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market leading up to Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches could significantly shift market sentiment. Public statements from players or coaches, as well as expert analysis, might also impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions or venue changes could also play a role, especially if they are perceived to favor one competitor over the other. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market's pricing.