TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 4:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Guadagno and Tyler Mercier in the M15 Quito, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Guadagno' if Valentin Guadagno advances against Tyler Mercier. This market will resolve to 'Tyler Mercier' if Tyler Mercier advances against Valentin Guadagno. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Guadagno and Tyler Mercier in the M15 Quito, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Guadagno' if Valentin Guadagno advances against Tyler Mercier. This market will resolve to 'Tyler Mercier' if Tyler Mercier advances against Valentin Guadagno. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Guadagno vs Mercier match as reported by the governing body of the competition. This ensures an objective and transparent determination of the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, as any delays or changes to the event schedule could impact the resolution timeline.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions or venue could also cause shifts in the odds. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role, although the market is ultimately driven by actual trading activity. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could also indirectly affect this market’s pricing.