TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 2:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tyler Mercier and Tristan McCormick in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tyler Mercier' if Tyler Mercier advances against Tristan McCormick. This market will resolve to 'Tristan McCormick' if Tristan McCormick advances against Tyler Mercier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tyler Mercier and Tristan McCormick in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tyler Mercier' if Tyler Mercier advances against Tristan McCormick. This market will resolve to 'Tristan McCormick' if Tristan McCormick advances against Tyler Mercier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event. Analyzing these differences can sometimes reveal insights into public perception and potential value bets, but remember that both represent probabilities of the same event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly reflects the market’s assessment of the likelihood of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly adjusting based on the latest information and trader sentiment surrounding the Mercier vs McCormick match.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Mercier vs McCormick match as reported by the relevant governing body or official source. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official channels for the final result and confirmation of resolution timing.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or tactical changes for either Tyler Mercier or Tristan McCormick could significantly shift the odds. Public announcements about match conditions, venue changes, or even pre-match interviews expressing confidence or concern could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in related matches or broader tournament results might also indirectly affect this market, as traders reassess the overall competitive landscape leading up to Oct 14, 2026.