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$279,496,801
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
M15 Quito: Tristan McCormick vs Lucas Andrade Da Silva Set Handicap +/-1.5
- Polymarket
M15 Quito: Tristan McCormick vs Lucas Andrade Da Silva Set Handicap +/-1.5 - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 11, 2026
Closed: Oct 11, 3:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tristan McCormick and Lucas Andrade Da Silva in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tristan McCormick' if Tristan McCormick advances against Lucas Andrade Da Silva. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Andrade Da Silva' if Lucas Andrade Da Silva advances against Tristan McCormick. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tristan McCormick and Lucas Andrade Da Silva in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tristan McCormick' if Tristan McCormick advances against Lucas Andrade Da Silva. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Andrade Da Silva' if Lucas Andrade Da Silva advances against Tristan McCormick. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk assessment, while this market is driven by individual traders’ beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly when there’s strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd believes there’s value, and whether the market is leaning towards a different outcome than professional oddsmakers. Analyzing these differences can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Quito fight between Tristan McCormick and Lucas Andrade Da Silva. The platform will verify the winner according to official fight records and reporting from recognized sports news outlets. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or shifts in public perception could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about fighter weight classes or pre-fight negotiations could also cause movement. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated fight previews might sway traders’ opinions. Even social media sentiment and betting trends from other sources can contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.