TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 8:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Montalvo Galarza and Jose Luis Claro in the M15 Quito, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Montalvo Galarza' if Rafael Montalvo Galarza advances against Jose Luis Claro. This market will resolve to 'Jose Luis Claro' if Jose Luis Claro advances against Rafael Montalvo Galarza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Montalvo Galarza and Jose Luis Claro in the M15 Quito, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Montalvo Galarza' if Rafael Montalvo Galarza advances against Jose Luis Claro. This market will resolve to 'Jose Luis Claro' if Jose Luis Claro advances against Rafael Montalvo Galarza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Rafael Montalvo Galarza vs Jose Luis Claro tennis match in Quito. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions in Quito, or even a significant upset in a related tournament, could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could temporarily move the price, though the market typically self-corrects as more information becomes available and more traders participate.