TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 4:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Montalvo Galarza and Jose Luis Claro in the M15 Quito, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Montalvo Galarza' if Rafael Montalvo Galarza advances against Jose Luis Claro. This market will resolve to 'Jose Luis Claro' if Jose Luis Claro advances against Rafael Montalvo Galarza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Montalvo Galarza and Jose Luis Claro in the M15 Quito, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Montalvo Galarza' if Rafael Montalvo Galarza advances against Jose Luis Claro. This market will resolve to 'Jose Luis Claro' if Jose Luis Claro advances against Rafael Montalvo Galarza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Quito match between Rafael Montalvo Galarza and Jose Luis Claro. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes to their coaching strategies could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about the match venue or scheduling changes could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in broader public sentiment regarding the players' chances could drive movement in the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the perceived probability of each outcome.