TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Vargas and Franco Marini in the M15 Quito, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Vargas' if Pedro Vargas advances against Franco Marini. This market will resolve to 'Franco Marini' if Franco Marini advances against Pedro Vargas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Vargas and Franco Marini in the M15 Quito, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Vargas' if Pedro Vargas advances against Franco Marini. This market will resolve to 'Franco Marini' if Franco Marini advances against Pedro Vargas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Vargas vs Marini match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches and following its completion.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimens, or unexpected announcements related to either Pedro Vargas or Franco Marini could shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, analysis from sports commentators, updated rankings, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could all contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market is evolving and potentially identifying opportunities.