TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Mateo and Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli in the M15 Quito, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Mateo' if Miguel Mateo advances against Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli' if Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli advances against Miguel Mateo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Mateo and Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli in the M15 Quito, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Mateo' if Miguel Mateo advances against Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli' if Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli advances against Miguel Mateo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially for events where public perception diverges from expert analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Quito tennis match between Miguel Mateo and Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analyses from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also affect perceptions of their relative strengths. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed traders could indicate new information or a change in outlook, potentially causing a noticeable price movement in this market.