TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 2:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Covato and Felipe De Dios in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Covato' if Matteo Covato advances against Felipe De Dios. This market will resolve to 'Felipe De Dios' if Felipe De Dios advances against Matteo Covato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Covato and Felipe De Dios in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Covato' if Matteo Covato advances against Felipe De Dios. This market will resolve to 'Felipe De Dios' if Felipe De Dios advances against Matteo Covato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is underrating a player's chances, the prediction market odds may shift accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of public attention. It's common to see this market offer odds that diverge from initial sportsbook offerings, especially as new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by new information, shifts in sentiment, and the actions of other traders, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding the match.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Matteo Covato versus Felipe De Dios tennis match in Quito. The platform will verify the winner based on official tournament results and reporting. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also shift expectations. Furthermore, large trades or strategic activity from influential traders on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.