TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 2:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Covato and Dakotah Bobo in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Covato' if Matteo Covato advances against Dakotah Bobo. This market will resolve to 'Dakotah Bobo' if Dakotah Bobo advances against Matteo Covato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Covato and Dakotah Bobo in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Covato' if Matteo Covato advances against Dakotah Bobo. This market will resolve to 'Dakotah Bobo' if Dakotah Bobo advances against Matteo Covato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on internal models and aim to balance their risk, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when there’s considerable uncertainty surrounding the outcome. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of the anticipated result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time assessment of the likelihood of each player winning the M15 Quito tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Quito tennis match between Matteo Covato and Dakotah Bobo, as declared by the tournament organizers. The winner of the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and confirmed on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the tennis world, might also play a role. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations and cause the odds to move rapidly.