TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 3:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Manuel Mouilleron Salvo and Nicolas Hollender in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Mouilleron Salvo' if Manuel Mouilleron Salvo advances against Nicolas Hollender. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Hollender' if Nicolas Hollender advances against Manuel Mouilleron Salvo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Manuel Mouilleron Salvo and Nicolas Hollender in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Mouilleron Salvo' if Manuel Mouilleron Salvo advances against Nicolas Hollender. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Hollender' if Nicolas Hollender advances against Manuel Mouilleron Salvo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to adjust probabilities based on new information and their own insights. If sportsbook odds significantly deviate from those seen here, it may indicate disagreement about the likely outcome or differing levels of information available to each group. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast event outcomes than traditional methods.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Quito tennis match between Manuel Mouilleron Salvo and Nicolas Hollender. The winner of the match, as determined by official tournament results, will dictate the outcome of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions in Quito, or reports about either player’s physical or mental state leading up to the match, could also cause significant price movement. Additionally, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could quickly alter the odds, reflecting new information or a change in perceived probabilities.