TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 7:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Andrade Da Silva and Daniel Salazar in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Andrade Da Silva' if Lucas Andrade Da Silva advances against Daniel Salazar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Salazar' if Daniel Salazar advances against Lucas Andrade Da Silva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Andrade Da Silva and Daniel Salazar in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Andrade Da Silva' if Lucas Andrade Da Silva advances against Daniel Salazar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Salazar' if Daniel Salazar advances against Lucas Andrade Da Silva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome of the Andrade vs Salazar match. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into public perception and potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Andrade vs Salazar match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of traders.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Andrade vs Salazar match, as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Lucas Andrade Da Silva or Daniel Salazar, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in rankings, recent performance in other matches, or even weather conditions on the day of the match could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements or public statements from either athlete or their teams could also shift market sentiment and lead to price fluctuations.