TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 3:52 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between julian Fernando Perez and Facundo Perlov in the M15 Quito, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'julian Fernando Perez' if julian Fernando Perez advances against Facundo Perlov. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Perlov' if Facundo Perlov advances against julian Fernando Perez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between julian Fernando Perez and Facundo Perlov in the M15 Quito, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'julian Fernando Perez' if julian Fernando Perez advances against Facundo Perlov. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Perlov' if Facundo Perlov advances against julian Fernando Perez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than bookmakers, or that there is strong conviction among traders on Polymarket. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but they are derived through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of bettors.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result of the Quito tennis match, as declared by the tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution will be based on who is officially recorded as the victor of the match. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result of the competition.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or updates on player form could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, could also cause movement. Furthermore, any public statements from players or coaches that impact perceived chances of winning could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.