TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 6:38 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Sebastian Osorio and Tristan McCormick in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Sebastian Osorio' if Juan Sebastian Osorio advances against Tristan McCormick. This market will resolve to 'Tristan McCormick' if Tristan McCormick advances against Juan Sebastian Osorio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Sebastian Osorio and Tristan McCormick in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Sebastian Osorio' if Juan Sebastian Osorio advances against Tristan McCormick. This market will resolve to 'Tristan McCormick' if Tristan McCormick advances against Juan Sebastian Osorio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the mispricing between the two types of markets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the event. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Juan Sebastian Osorio versus Tristan McCormick tennis match in Quito. The platform will use publicly available sources to verify the winner of the match. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather affecting an outdoor match), or updates on player form could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact perceptions of their relative strengths. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations. Monitoring tennis news and following expert analysis will be key to understanding potential market movements leading up to Oct 23, 2026.