TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 4:17 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Dreycopp and Matteo Covato in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Dreycopp' if Ivan Dreycopp advances against Matteo Covato. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Covato' if Matteo Covato advances against Ivan Dreycopp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Dreycopp and Matteo Covato in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Dreycopp' if Ivan Dreycopp advances against Matteo Covato. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Covato' if Matteo Covato advances against Ivan Dreycopp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the collective belief of traders willing to put their capital at risk. Discrepancies can arise from differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets. It's common to see prediction market odds shift more rapidly in response to new information or changing sentiment than traditional sportsbook odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular outcome will happen, the higher the price of its shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ivan Dreycopp versus Matteo Covato tennis match in Quito. The platform will verify the winner based on official tournament results and reporting, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified result.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event, or even weather forecasts impacting the playing surface, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations and drive price movements in this market.