TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 3:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Elias Julian Werner and Miles Clark in the M15 Quito, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elias Julian Werner' if Elias Julian Werner advances against Miles Clark. This market will resolve to 'Miles Clark' if Miles Clark advances against Elias Julian Werner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elias Julian Werner and Miles Clark in the M15 Quito, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elias Julian Werner' if Elias Julian Werner advances against Miles Clark. This market will resolve to 'Miles Clark' if Miles Clark advances against Elias Julian Werner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs. Over time, prediction market prices tend to become more accurate as more information becomes available and more traders participate. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as the market incorporates diverse perspectives and reacts to news or developments related to the players involved in the Quito tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the match’s potential results. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and trader sentiment regarding Elias Julian Werner versus Miles Clark.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Quito tennis match between Elias Julian Werner and Miles Clark, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The winner of the match, as officially declared, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player might also impact the odds, as it could affect their perceived form and confidence. Furthermore, any significant public endorsements or analysis predicting a clear winner could also drive movement in this market as traders react to new information.