TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 5:46 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dakotah Bobo and Tristan McCormick in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dakotah Bobo' if Dakotah Bobo advances against Tristan McCormick. This market will resolve to 'Tristan McCormick' if Tristan McCormick advances against Dakotah Bobo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dakotah Bobo and Tristan McCormick in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dakotah Bobo' if Dakotah Bobo advances against Tristan McCormick. This market will resolve to 'Tristan McCormick' if Tristan McCormick advances against Dakotah Bobo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like house edges and perceived public biases into their pricing, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate disagreement about the fighters' true probabilities of winning. It's important to note that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and isn't influenced by external factors or a central authority setting the odds.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the fight between Dakotah Bobo and Tristan McCormick, as declared by the relevant governing body. The outcome will be determined by which fighter is officially declared the winner of the bout. Any official decision, including a knockout, technical knockout, or judges' decision, will be used to determine the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight's location or rules could also lead to movement. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role, though this market is driven by traders' own assessments. Any significant development related to either fighter has the potential to move this market before Oct 21, 2026.