TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Cesar Ariel Hidalgo Aguirre and Facundo Perlov in the M15 Quito, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cesar Ariel Hidalgo Aguirre' if Cesar Ariel Hidalgo Aguirre advances against Facundo Perlov. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Perlov' if Facundo Perlov advances against Cesar Ariel Hidalgo Aguirre. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Cesar Ariel Hidalgo Aguirre and Facundo Perlov in the M15 Quito, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cesar Ariel Hidalgo Aguirre' if Cesar Ariel Hidalgo Aguirre advances against Facundo Perlov. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Perlov' if Facundo Perlov advances against Cesar Ariel Hidalgo Aguirre. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the current market consensus on the likelihood of that outcome occurring. The platform doesn't use any external factors to set the price; it's entirely driven by supply and demand from traders participating in the market for the Hidalgo vs Perlov match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Cesar Ariel Hidalgo Aguirre and Facundo Perlov. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result. It’s important to note that the resolution process is independent and based on objective results.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in their training regimens could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions, such as a venue change or altered rules, could also have an impact. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, might also play a role, though the market is primarily driven by informed trading. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Hidalgo vs Perlov match could cause the market to move.