TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 5:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Hernandez and Gray Voelzke in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Hernandez' if Alex Hernandez advances against Gray Voelzke. This market will resolve to 'Gray Voelzke' if Gray Voelzke advances against Alex Hernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Hernandez and Gray Voelzke in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Hernandez' if Alex Hernandez advances against Gray Voelzke. This market will resolve to 'Gray Voelzke' if Gray Voelzke advances against Alex Hernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially incorporating information not fully captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to odds that can diverge from those offered elsewhere. It’s common to see prediction markets react quickly to new information or shifts in public opinion. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can reveal differing perspectives on the likely outcome of the Hernandez vs Voelzke match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what the market believes is the likelihood of a particular result in the Hernandez vs Voelzke match. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hernandez vs Voelzke match, as reported by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome wins. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. This ensures a transparent and verifiable process for settling this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either Alex Hernandez or Gray Voelzke would likely have a significant impact. Changes in their recent performance, training updates, or even pre-match interviews revealing strategic approaches could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match location or conditions could also play a role. Public opinion, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also contribute to price movements in this market.