TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vasco Leote Prata and Yannick Castelnuovo in the M15 Pontevedra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vasco Leote Prata' if Vasco Leote Prata advances against Yannick Castelnuovo. This market will resolve to 'Yannick Castelnuovo' if Yannick Castelnuovo advances against Vasco Leote Prata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vasco Leote Prata and Yannick Castelnuovo in the M15 Pontevedra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vasco Leote Prata' if Vasco Leote Prata advances against Yannick Castelnuovo. This market will resolve to 'Yannick Castelnuovo' if Yannick Castelnuovo advances against Vasco Leote Prata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may more accurately reflect the true probabilities of an event occurring, especially when information isn’t widely available or is undervalued by bookmakers. However, it's important to remember that both are simply estimations, and neither guarantees a correct prediction.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, scaled to a value between 0 and 100. The total volume traded provides insight into the level of interest and conviction surrounding each possible result in the Pontevedra tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Pontevedra tennis match between Vasco Leote Prata and Yannick Castelnuovo. The platform will identify the winner based on publicly available scores and match data. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades placed by individual participants or groups could cause noticeable price fluctuations, especially given the current relatively low volume. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.