TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 9:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tanguy Genier and Andrea Bacaloni in the M15 Pontevedra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tanguy Genier' if Tanguy Genier advances against Andrea Bacaloni. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Bacaloni' if Andrea Bacaloni advances against Tanguy Genier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tanguy Genier and Andrea Bacaloni in the M15 Pontevedra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tanguy Genier' if Tanguy Genier advances against Andrea Bacaloni. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Bacaloni' if Andrea Bacaloni advances against Tanguy Genier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, allowing for a dynamic and real-time assessment of expectations. This creates a market-driven forecast for the M15 Pontevedra match.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Pontevedra match between Tanguy Genier and Andrea Bacaloni. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Tanguy Genier or Andrea Bacaloni could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches or broader tournament upsets could also impact expectations. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can create short-term price movements, especially with lower volume. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves leading up to Oct 15, 2026.