TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Duarte and Joao Mendes in the M15 Pontevedra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Duarte' if Rodrigo Duarte advances against Joao Mendes. This market will resolve to 'Joao Mendes' if Joao Mendes advances against Rodrigo Duarte. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Duarte and Joao Mendes in the M15 Pontevedra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Duarte' if Rodrigo Duarte advances against Joao Mendes. This market will resolve to 'Joao Mendes' if Joao Mendes advances against Rodrigo Duarte. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their view, leading to adjustments based on new information or changing sentiment. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before an event, as the market incorporates a wider range of perspectives than a single sportsbook might. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into public perception versus professional analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Pontevedra match between Rodrigo Duarte and Joao Mendes, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the qualifying tournament might also impact expectations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.