TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 8:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ramon Talin maiz and Javier Munoz Fuster in the M15 Pontevedra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ramon Talin maiz' if Ramon Talin maiz advances against Javier Munoz Fuster. This market will resolve to 'Javier Munoz Fuster' if Javier Munoz Fuster advances against Ramon Talin maiz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ramon Talin maiz and Javier Munoz Fuster in the M15 Pontevedra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ramon Talin maiz' if Ramon Talin maiz advances against Javier Munoz Fuster. This market will resolve to 'Javier Munoz Fuster' if Javier Munoz Fuster advances against Ramon Talin maiz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission, which skews the implied probabilities. This market, being driven by the collective wisdom of traders, can sometimes provide more accurate probabilities, especially as new information emerges. However, sportsbook odds reflect the views of professional oddsmakers and may react quickly to breaking news. It’s always wise to compare both to form a well-rounded view of the potential outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome, and the price of these shares reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence from the crowd. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, offering a constantly updated assessment of the match’s potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Pontevedra match between Ramon Talin maiz and Javier Munoz Fuster, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and determine which outcome corresponds to the winning player.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates or recent match results, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role, potentially impacting playing styles. Furthermore, any changes in public perception or expert analysis regarding the players’ chances of winning could drive trading volume and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.