TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 11:53 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Oscar Weightman and Diogo Marques in the M15 Pontevedra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oscar Weightman' if Oscar Weightman advances against Diogo Marques. This market will resolve to 'Diogo Marques' if Diogo Marques advances against Oscar Weightman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Oscar Weightman and Diogo Marques in the M15 Pontevedra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oscar Weightman' if Oscar Weightman advances against Diogo Marques. This market will resolve to 'Diogo Marques' if Diogo Marques advances against Oscar Weightman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Examining these differences can reveal insights into what information is already priced into each type of market and where potential value might lie.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pontevedra tennis match between Oscar Weightman and Diogo Marques. The winner of the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered based on widely accepted tennis officiating standards.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. For example, reports of Oscar Weightman experiencing a minor injury during practice could lead to a decrease in the probability of his victory. Similarly, unexpected weather forecasts impacting the court surface could also cause movement. Public endorsements or analysis from tennis experts could also sway sentiment, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly.