TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Thurner and MARC MARTIN ROCA in the M15 Pontevedra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Thurner' if Noah Thurner advances against MARC MARTIN ROCA. This market will resolve to 'MARC MARTIN ROCA' if MARC MARTIN ROCA advances against Noah Thurner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Thurner and MARC MARTIN ROCA in the M15 Pontevedra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Thurner' if Noah Thurner advances against MARC MARTIN ROCA. This market will resolve to 'MARC MARTIN ROCA' if MARC MARTIN ROCA advances against Noah Thurner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Pontevedra match between Noah Thurner and MARC MARTIN ROCA, as reported by official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes to playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. For example, if Noah Thurner were to withdraw from the match due to injury, the price of shares representing MARC MARTIN ROCA would likely increase significantly. Unexpected weather conditions or a change in the court surface could also impact the perceived probabilities and cause movement in this market. Monitoring tennis news and updates will be key to understanding potential catalysts.