TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 11:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matisse Bobichon and Daniil Sarksian in the M15 Pontevedra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matisse Bobichon' if Matisse Bobichon advances against Daniil Sarksian. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Sarksian' if Daniil Sarksian advances against Matisse Bobichon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matisse Bobichon and Daniil Sarksian in the M15 Pontevedra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matisse Bobichon' if Matisse Bobichon advances against Daniil Sarksian. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Sarksian' if Daniil Sarksian advances against Matisse Bobichon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or unexpected developments influencing the M15 Pontevedra match.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Pontevedra match, as reported by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected upsets in other matches could shift trader sentiment. Real-time updates during the match itself, such as a player gaining an early lead or a key break point, will likely cause significant price fluctuations. Analyst predictions and public polls regarding the M15 Pontevedra match could also indirectly impact trading activity and, consequently, the market price.