TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 8:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matisse Bobichon and Carlos Giraldi in the M15 Pontevedra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matisse Bobichon' if Matisse Bobichon advances against Carlos Giraldi. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Giraldi' if Carlos Giraldi advances against Matisse Bobichon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matisse Bobichon and Carlos Giraldi in the M15 Pontevedra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matisse Bobichon' if Matisse Bobichon advances against Carlos Giraldi. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Giraldi' if Carlos Giraldi advances against Matisse Bobichon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on internal models and aim to profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially when there’s significant public interest and information available. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of bets not available in this market, and may have different margins built into their pricing.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new data and provide a real-time estimate of the likelihood of each possible result in the M15 Pontevedra match.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the M15 Pontevedra match between Matisse Bobichon and Carlos Giraldi, as reported by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in tennis performance, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term price movements. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing player statistics are key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.