TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 11:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Karim Bennani and Tanguy Genier in the M15 Pontevedra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karim Bennani' if Karim Bennani advances against Tanguy Genier. This market will resolve to 'Tanguy Genier' if Tanguy Genier advances against Karim Bennani. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Karim Bennani and Tanguy Genier in the M15 Pontevedra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karim Bennani' if Karim Bennani advances against Tanguy Genier. This market will resolve to 'Tanguy Genier' if Tanguy Genier advances against Karim Bennani. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real money at risk. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to new information, as traders quickly adjust their positions based on evolving insights about the Bennani vs Genier match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Bennani vs Genier match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as the odds are not pre-determined but rather emerge from the collective actions of market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Pontevedra tennis match between Karim Bennani and Tanguy Genier. The platform will verify the winner, and that information will be used to determine which shares payout. The market will close and payouts will be distributed shortly after the official result is available, ensuring a timely and accurate settlement process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 14, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the M15 Pontevedra tournament involving either Bennani or Genier could also impact the odds. Even broader tennis news, such as upsets involving similar players, might cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to price fluctuations in this market.