TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jorge Alvarez Mosteiro and Yannick Castelnuovo in the M15 Pontevedra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jorge Alvarez Mosteiro' if Jorge Alvarez Mosteiro advances against Yannick Castelnuovo. This market will resolve to 'Yannick Castelnuovo' if Yannick Castelnuovo advances against Jorge Alvarez Mosteiro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jorge Alvarez Mosteiro and Yannick Castelnuovo in the M15 Pontevedra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jorge Alvarez Mosteiro' if Jorge Alvarez Mosteiro advances against Yannick Castelnuovo. This market will resolve to 'Yannick Castelnuovo' if Yannick Castelnuovo advances against Jorge Alvarez Mosteiro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates real-time information and the opinions of many individuals. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to be more accurate than traditional polls or analysts in forecasting event outcomes. It's important to note that both approaches have their strengths and weaknesses, and comparing them can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Pontevedra match between Jorge Alvarez Mosteiro and Yannick Castelnuovo. The platform will verify the final result against sources such as official tournament websites and reputable sports news outlets. The outcome will be determined by which player ultimately wins the match, as officially declared by the tournament organizers. This ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process for this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or potential advantages could also impact the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders or large volume purchases could indicate a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals and events can provide insights into how the market might evolve leading up to the Oct 11, 2026 resolution of this market.