TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 9:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Car and Adrien Burdet in the M15 Pontevedra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Car' if Hugo Car advances against Adrien Burdet. This market will resolve to 'Adrien Burdet' if Adrien Burdet advances against Hugo Car. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Car and Adrien Burdet in the M15 Pontevedra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Car' if Hugo Car advances against Adrien Burdet. This market will resolve to 'Adrien Burdet' if Adrien Burdet advances against Hugo Car. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals making their own predictions. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd disagrees with experts, and may highlight potentially undervalued or overvalued outcomes. Keep in mind that sportsbooks and this market have different incentives and user bases.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction venues.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Pontevedra match between Hugo Car and Adrien Burdet. The outcome will be determined by the official tournament organizers and will be based on the match's final result. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 14, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament or significant changes in player rankings could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news and following expert analysis can provide valuable insights into potential catalysts that might move this market.